Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 42.33% | 24.86% | 32.81% |
| Both teams to score 57.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% | 45.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% | 68.05% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% | 21.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.27% | 54.73% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% | 26.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% | 61.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-1 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.81% |