Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
