Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13

Jul 4, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Mueller (59')
Urso (2'), Pereyra (41')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Casseres Jr (6')
Duncan (22'), Gomes (34'), Yearwood (57'), Barlow (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	New York Red Bulls
47.52%	24.93%	27.55%

Both teams to score 54.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.44%

48.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.31%

70.69%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.52%

20.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.05%

52.95%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24%

31.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.81%

68.19%

Score Analysis

Orlando City 47.51%

New York Red Bulls 27.55%

Draw 24.92%

Orlando City	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.51%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.55%