Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 60.18% | 22.4% | 17.42% |
| Both teams to score 49.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% | 48.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% | 71.02% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% | 15.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.97% | 45.03% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.34% | 41.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.86% | 78.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% 2-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.11% Total : 60.18% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.78% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.84% Total : 17.42% |