Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 40.74% | 27.15% | 32.11% |
| Both teams to score 49.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% | 76.68% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% | 26.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% | 62.04% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% | 32.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% | 68.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.11% |