Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for DC United in this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 50.95% | 23.7% | 25.36% |
| Both teams to score 56.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% | 44.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% | 67.24% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% | 17.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.71% | 48.29% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% | 31.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% | 67.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.7% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 5.57% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.75% Total : 25.36% |