Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 49.15% | 25.05% | 25.8% |
| Both teams to score 52.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.73% | 50.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.78% | 72.21% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% | 20.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.06% | 52.94% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% | 34.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% | 70.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.8% |