Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 46.24% | 24.85% | 28.92% |
| Both teams to score 55.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% | 47.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% | 69.58% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% | 20.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% | 53.05% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% | 30.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% | 66.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.92% |