Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 20

Jul 31, 2021 at 1am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
3 - 2
Atlanta

Smith (43'), van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Atlanta United
40.61%	25.54%	33.85%

Both teams to score 55.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49%

48.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.37%

70.63%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34%

23.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24%

57.76%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58%

27.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.1%

62.9%

Score Analysis

Orlando City 40.61%

Atlanta United 33.85%

Draw 25.54%

Orlando City	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2% Total : 40.61%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.85%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City

64.5%

Draw

25.8%

Atlanta United

9.7%