Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 17

Jul 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
2 - 1
DC United

Santos (11'), Przybylko (83')
Andres Martinez (22')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodrigo Asad (51' pen.)
Rodrigo Asad (27'), Alfaro (45+1'), Reyna (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	DC United
53.13%	25.74%	21.13%

Both teams to score 45.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.03%

56.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.13%

77.87%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49%

21.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.43%

54.57%

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.83%

42.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.42%

78.58%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 53.11%

DC United 21.13%

Draw 25.74%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 13.93% 2-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 4.74% 4-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.11%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 9.07% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 5.2% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.15% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.1% Total : 21.13%