Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18

Jul 23, 2021 at 1.25am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Michel (10'), Perea (59')
Pereyra (45'), Michel (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Przybylko (68')
Santos (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
40.39%	25.15%	34.45%

Both teams to score 56.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.35%

46.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.09%

68.91%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05%

22.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28%

56.72%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83%

26.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75%

61.25%

Score Analysis

Orlando City 40.39%

Philadelphia Union 34.45%

Draw 25.15%

Orlando City	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.84% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.39%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.3% Total : 34.45%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Philadelphia

Orlando City

54.5%

Draw

29.5%

Philadelphia Union

15.9%