Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16

Jul 4, 2021 at 1am UK

Nissan Stadium

Nashville
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Sapong (2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Andres Martinez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
38.14%	26.46%	35.41%

Both teams to score 52.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.83%

52.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.11%

73.88%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35%

26.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11%

61.88%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76%

28.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05%

63.95%

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 38.14%

Philadelphia Union 35.41%

Draw 26.45%

Nashville SC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.14%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.52% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.02% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.41%