Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
Jul 4, 2021 1.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • CJ Sapong 2' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 79'

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 27, 2021 1.30am
Nashville 1 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Duncan Williams

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 27, 2021 1.00am
Chicago Fire 3 - 3 Philadelphia
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Kacper Przybylko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match.

Result

Nashville SC 38.14%
Draw 26.46%
Philadelphia Union 35.41%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.83%
Under 2.5 52.17%
Over 3.5 26.11%
Under 3.5 73.88%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 73.35%
Under 0.5 26.65%
Over 1.5 38.11%
Under 1.5 61.88%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 71.76%
Under 0.5 28.24%
Over 1.5 36.05%
Under 1.5 63.95%

Score analysis

Nashville SC 38.14%
Draw 26.45%
Philadelphia Union 35.41%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 38.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.52%
2-2 @ 5.26%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.45%
Philadelphia Union
0-1 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 6.02%
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 15, 2020 1.00am
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
May 14, 2020 1.00am