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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 21
Aug 5, 2021 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
Toronto FC
Philadelphia
3 - 0
Toronto
Glesnes (12'), Gazdag (33' pen.), Santos (36')
Glesnes (26'), Wagner (47'), Mbaizo (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
59.09%22.68%18.23%
Both teams to score 49.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14%48.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04%70.96%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81%16.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33%45.67%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.33%40.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.74%77.26%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 59.08%
    Toronto 18.23%
    Draw 22.67%
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 5.96%
4-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-2 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 59.08%
1-1 @ 10.78%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.92%
1-2 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 2.67%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Toronto

Philadelphia Union
13.0%
Draw
26.1%
Toronto
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 14
Toronto
2-1
Philadelphia
Akinola (58'), Pozuelo (76')
Santos (5')
Aug 15, 2020 11pm
Jul 12, 2020 12.30am
May 11, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 13
Toronto
1-2
Philadelphia
Pozuelo (51')
Ciman (61'), Altidore (82'), Pozuelo (95')
Mavinga (25' og.), Monteiro (68')
Bedoya (32'), Trusty (86'), Przybylko (92')
rhs 2.0
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