Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 42.98% | 27.19% | 29.83% |
| Both teams to score 48.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.63% | 56.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% | 77.39% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% | 25.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% | 60.99% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% | 34.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.18% | 70.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.83% |