Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 24

Aug 8, 2021 at 11pm UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Philadelphia Union
53.18%	24.28%	22.53%

Both teams to score 51.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.93%

50.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.96%

72.04%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.23%

18.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.83%

50.16%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.15%

36.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.36%

73.63%

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 53.17%

Philadelphia Union 22.53%

Draw 24.28%

New England Revolution	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.17%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.28%	0-1 @ 6.9% 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.53%

How you voted: New England vs Philadelphia

New England Revolution

45.8%

Draw

41.7%

Philadelphia Union

12.5%