Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 42.44% | 24.9% | 32.67% |
| Both teams to score 57.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% | 45.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% | 68.26% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% | 21.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.2% | 54.8% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% | 26.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% | 62.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% 1-0 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.44% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-1 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.67% |