Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 53.65% | 25.07% | 21.28% |
| Both teams to score 47.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.61% | 54.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% | 75.77% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% | 20.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% | 40.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.87% | 77.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.62% Total : 53.65% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.29% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.28% |