Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
66.38% | 20.08% | 13.54% |
Both teams to score 47.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% | 46.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% | 68.72% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.9% | 13.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.27% | 39.72% |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.56% | 45.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.72% | 81.28% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-0 @ 12.29% 1-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 6.57% 4-0 @ 4.23% 4-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.82% Total : 66.37% | 1-1 @ 9.54% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.08% | 0-1 @ 4.7% 1-2 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.01% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |