Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 25.88% | 22.53% | 51.58% |
| Both teams to score 60.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% | 39.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.59% | 61.4% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% | 28.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% | 63.7% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% | 15.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.96% | 44.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 6.51% 1-0 @ 5.46% 2-0 @ 3.47% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.62% Total : 25.88% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-1 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 7.56% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 3.82% 1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.79% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.89% Total : 51.58% |