Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 68.28%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Austin FC |
| 68.28% | 17.98% | 13.75% |
| Both teams to score 55.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.56% | 58.44% |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.3% | 9.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.67% | 32.33% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.29% | 38.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.55% | 75.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 8.76% 3-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 7.54% 4-0 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.58% 5-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 2.05% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 4.21% Total : 68.28% | 1-1 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.6% 0-0 @ 3.76% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.98% | 1-2 @ 3.95% 0-1 @ 3.56% 0-2 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.84% Total : 13.75% |