Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Austin FC |
| 61.75% | 19.62% | 18.62% |
| Both teams to score 60.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.62% | 34.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.71% | 56.29% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.24% | 10.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.24% | 34.76% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% | 31.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.93% | 68.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 7.24% 3-0 @ 6.29% 3-2 @ 4.16% 4-1 @ 4.03% 4-0 @ 3.51% 4-2 @ 2.32% 5-1 @ 1.8% 5-0 @ 1.56% 5-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.02% Total : 61.75% | 1-1 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 5.03% 0-1 @ 3.92% 0-2 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.35% Total : 18.62% |