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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 19
Jul 25, 2021 at 11pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Orlando City
NY City
5 - 0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
56.84%22.62%20.54%
Both teams to score 53.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6%45.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27%67.73%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.25%15.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.14%44.86%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84%36.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.05%72.95%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 56.84%
    Orlando City 20.54%
    Draw 22.61%
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.73%
3-1 @ 6.1%
3-0 @ 6%
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.82%
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.04%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 56.84%
1-1 @ 10.7%
0-0 @ 5.7%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.79%
1-2 @ 5.45%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 20.54%

How you voted: NY City vs Orlando City

New York City FC
48.8%
Draw
26.8%
Orlando City
24.4%
41
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 6
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Nani (52')
Smith (34')
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
First Round
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 18
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Mueller (18')
Sep 20, 2020 12.30am
Jul 15, 2020 1am
NY City
1-3
Orlando City
Medina (38')
Castellanos (18'), Sands (37'), Ring (52')
Mueller (4', 10'), Akindele (81')
Jansson (22'), Moutinho (56'), Gallese (73'), Pereyra (79')
rhs 2.0
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