Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 56.84% | 22.62% | 20.54% |
| Both teams to score 53.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% | 45.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% | 67.73% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% | 15.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.14% | 44.86% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% | 36.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% | 72.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.73% 3-1 @ 6.1% 3-0 @ 6% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.82% 4-0 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.04% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.41% Total : 56.84% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.79% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.54% |