Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 47.36% | 25.43% | 27.21% |
| Both teams to score 52.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% | 50.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% | 72.74% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% | 21.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.47% | 54.52% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% | 33.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% | 69.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.36% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.21% |