Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
