Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
57.23% | 23.78% | 18.99% |
Both teams to score 47.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.8% | 52.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.09% | 73.91% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.96% | 18.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.05% | 48.95% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.25% | 41.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.78% | 78.22% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 5.51% 4-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.03% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.41% Total : 57.22% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |