Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 58.89% | 21.65% | 19.46% |
| Both teams to score 55.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% | 42.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% | 65% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% | 14.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.21% | 41.79% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% | 35.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% | 72.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.65% 3-1 @ 6.49% 3-0 @ 6.29% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 3.17% 4-0 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.98% Total : 58.9% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 2-2 @ 5.13% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 5.24% 0-1 @ 5.2% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.85% Total : 19.46% |