Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 57.58% | 22.74% | 19.68% |
| Both teams to score 52.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% | 47.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% | 69.33% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% | 16.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% | 45.48% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.98% | 38.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.21% | 74.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.57% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.68% |