Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 36

Sep 30, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Philadelphia

Fernandez (37')
Duncan (52'), Reyes (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Santos (17')
Andres Martinez (45'), Wagner (85'), Blake (86'), Elliott (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Philadelphia Union
46.8%	26.05%	27.15%

Both teams to score 50.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.65%

53.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1%

74.9%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22%

22.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.52%

56.48%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39%

34.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67%

71.34%

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 46.8%

Philadelphia Union 27.15%

Draw 26.05%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.8%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.15%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Philadelphia

New York Red Bulls

33.3%

Draw

14.3%

Philadelphia Union

52.4%