Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 35

Sep 26, 2021 at 1am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Sands (62'), Castellanos (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fernandez (43')
Tolkin (13'), Duncan (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
58.66%	21.57%	19.76%

Both teams to score 56.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.18%

41.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.77%

64.22%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04%

13.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.57%

41.43%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.11%

34.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.37%

71.63%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 58.66%

New York Red Bulls 19.76%

Draw 21.57%

New York City FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 9.44% 3-1 @ 6.53% 3-0 @ 6.2% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.1% Total : 58.66%	1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 5.23% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.57%	1-2 @ 5.32% 0-1 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.76%