Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 43.4% | 25.86% | 30.73% |
| Both teams to score 53.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% | 72.68% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% | 23.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.78% | 57.22% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% | 30.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% | 66.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.44% 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.73% |