Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
| 56.83% | 22.81% | 20.35% |
| Both teams to score 52.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% | 46.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.23% | 68.76% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% | 16.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% | 45.56% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% | 36.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% | 73.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.26% Total : 56.83% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 5.93% 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.35% |