Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 48.96% | 25.07% | 25.96% |
| Both teams to score 52.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% | 50.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% | 72.2% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% | 20.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% | 53.06% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% | 33.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% | 70.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.64% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.96% |