Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 64.01% | 20.23% | 15.76% |
| Both teams to score 52.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% | 42.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% | 64.94% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.41% | 12.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.32% | 38.68% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.09% | 39.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.43% | 76.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-0 @ 10.78% 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 6.85% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-0 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.35% Total : 64% | 1-1 @ 9.57% 0-0 @ 5.03% 2-2 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.23% | 0-1 @ 4.62% 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.76% |