Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 41.63% | 25.69% | 32.68% |
| Both teams to score 54.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% | 49.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% | 71.45% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% | 23.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% | 28.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% | 64.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.68% |