Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
63.07% | 19.22% | 17.71% |
Both teams to score 60.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.97% | 34.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.1% | 55.91% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.67% | 10.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.22% | 33.79% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% | 32.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.09% | 68.91% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 8.63% 1-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 7.36% 3-0 @ 6.53% 4-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 4.15% 4-0 @ 3.7% 4-2 @ 2.35% 5-1 @ 1.9% 5-0 @ 1.68% 5-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 4.22% Total : 63.07% | 1-1 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 5.48% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.22% | 1-2 @ 4.83% 0-1 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.11% Total : 17.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |