Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 53.08% | 22.8% | 24.11% |
| Both teams to score 58.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.98% | 42.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% | 64.41% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% | 15.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.97% | 45.02% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% | 31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% | 67.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% 1-0 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 6% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.08% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-1 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.82% Total : 24.11% |