Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 55.77% | 22.39% | 21.83% |
| Both teams to score 56.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.23% | 42.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.83% | 65.16% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% | 15.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.18% | 43.82% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% | 33.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% | 70.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 6.21% 3-0 @ 5.66% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.74% Total : 55.77% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.41% 0-0 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.28% Total : 21.83% |