Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 41%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 41% | 24.67% | 34.33% |
| Both teams to score 58.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% | 44.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% | 66.83% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% | 21.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% | 54.86% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% | 25.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% | 59.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% 1-0 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.51% Total : 41% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-1 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.33% |