Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 12.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 68.05% | 18.98% | 12.97% |
| Both teams to score 49.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% | 42.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.66% | 65.34% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.41% | 11.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.42% | 36.58% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.87% | 44.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.77% | 80.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-0 @ 11.87% 1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 6.98% 4-0 @ 4.6% 4-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 2.85% 5-0 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.57% Total : 68.04% | 1-1 @ 9.02% 0-0 @ 5.12% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.87% Total : 18.98% | 0-1 @ 4.19% 1-2 @ 3.69% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.3% Total : 12.97% |