Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 47.5% | 23.04% | 29.45% |
| Both teams to score 62.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.22% | 38.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.91% | 61.09% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% | 16.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% | 25.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% | 60.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.81% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 4.33% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-1 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.45% |