Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 44.22% | 25.1% | 30.68% |
| Both teams to score 55.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% | 47.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% | 69.77% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% | 21.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.42% | 54.58% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% | 29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.1% | 64.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 9.12% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.68% |