Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 6

May 13, 2021 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Stadium

Houston
1 - 0
Kansas

Urruti (56')
Picault (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Espinoza (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
41.81%	24.7%	33.49%

Both teams to score 58.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.21%

44.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.86%

67.14%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54%

21.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.51%

54.48%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.15%

25.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.18%

60.82%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 41.81%

Sporting Kansas City 33.49%

Draw 24.7%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.81%	1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 7.81% 0-1 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.49%

How you voted: Houston vs Kansas

Houston Dynamo

12.5%

Draw

12.5%

Sporting Kansas City

75.0%