Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 10

May 30, 2021 at 1.30am UK

Livestrong Sporting Park

Kansas
3 - 2
Houston

Busio (51'), Pulido (61' pen.), Kinda (65')
Zusi (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vera (13'), Urruti (90+4')
Jones (4'), Vera (42'), Garcia (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
60.9%	21.4%	17.69%

Both teams to score 52.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72%

44.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.34%

66.65%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.93%

14.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.35%

41.65%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.41%

38.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.67%

75.33%

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 60.89%

Houston Dynamo 17.69%

Draw 21.4%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 6.5% 4-0 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.83% Total : 60.89%	1-1 @ 10.13% 0-0 @ 5.43% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.4%	0-1 @ 5.17% 1-2 @ 4.83% 0-2 @ 2.46% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.69%