Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Dallas |
| 64.98% | 19.42% | 15.59% |
| Both teams to score 54.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.86% | 39.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.53% | 61.46% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.68% | 11.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.02% | 35.98% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.97% | 38.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.2% | 74.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 7.18% 4-0 @ 4.04% 4-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.47% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 4.14% Total : 64.97% | 1-1 @ 9.07% 2-2 @ 4.78% 0-0 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.42% | 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-1 @ 4.16% 0-2 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.54% 1-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.59% |