Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
39.37% | 26.8% | 33.83% |
Both teams to score 51.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.22% | 53.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.75% | 75.25% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.29% | 26.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.03% | 61.97% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.98% | 30.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.86% | 66.14% |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.36% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |