Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 39.37% | 26.8% | 33.83% |
| Both teams to score 51.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.22% | 53.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% | 75.25% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% | 26.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.03% | 61.97% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% | 30.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% | 66.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.36% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.83% |