Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 25.83% | 23.98% | 50.18% |
| Both teams to score 55.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% | 45.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% | 68.05% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% | 31.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% | 68.01% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% | 18.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.66% | 49.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 6.65% 2-1 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.74% Total : 25.83% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 5.44% 0-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.18% |