Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 59.17% | 20.84% | 20% |
| Both teams to score 59.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.96% | 38.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.7% | 60.31% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.41% | 12.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.33% | 38.67% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% | 32.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% | 68.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 8.78% 1-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 6.82% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-2 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 3.54% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.89% Total : 59.17% | 1-1 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.84% | 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-1 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.4% Total : 20% |