Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 52.7% | 24.06% | 23.24% |
| Both teams to score 52.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% | 48.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% | 70.56% |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% | 18.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.56% | 49.43% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% | 35.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.96% | 72.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 9.31% 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-0 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.99% Total : 23.24% |