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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 38
Oct 16, 2021 at 6pm UK
Saputo Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Montreal
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Miljevic (33'), Sunusi (90+5')
Mihailovic (44'), Waterman (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pantemis (63' og.), Wagner (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawPhiladelphia Union
40.01%25.48%34.51%
Both teams to score 55.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91%48.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75%70.25%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22%23.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.07%57.93%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18%26.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88%62.11%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 40.01%
    Philadelphia Union 34.51%
    Draw 25.47%
CF MontrealDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.16%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.38%
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 34.51%

How you voted: Montreal vs Philadelphia

CF Montreal
71.4%
Draw
23.8%
Philadelphia Union
4.8%
21
rhs 2.0


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