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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 25
Oct 10, 2021 at 1am UK
Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia Union
Cincinnati
1 - 2
Philadelphia
Medunjanin (82')
Castillo (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Przybylko (45+3'), Aaronson (56')
Freese (80')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
27.67%25.59%46.74%
Both teams to score 52.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.78%51.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94%73.05%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93%33.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34%69.66%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09%21.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82%55.17%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 27.67%
    Philadelphia Union 46.73%
    Draw 25.59%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-1 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 4.44%
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 1.89%
3-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 10.99%
1-2 @ 9.24%
0-2 @ 8.35%
1-3 @ 4.68%
0-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 46.73%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Philadelphia

FC Cincinnati
20.0%
Draw
12.0%
Philadelphia Union
68.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Philadelphia
3-0
Cincinnati
Ilsinho (59'), Bedoya (73'), Elliott (80')
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Sep 20, 2020 12.30am
May 3, 2020 12.30am
May 2, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Philadelphia
2-0
Cincinnati
Przybylko (63'), Picault (70')
Trusty (81')
rhs 2.0
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