Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 25

Oct 10, 2021 at 1am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Medunjanin (82')
Castillo (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Przybylko (45+3'), Aaronson (56')
Freese (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Philadelphia Union
27.67%	25.59%	46.74%

Both teams to score 52.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78%

51.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94%

73.05%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.93%

33.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.34%

69.66%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09%

21.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.82%

55.17%

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 27.67%

Philadelphia Union 46.73%

Draw 25.59%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.47% Total : 27.67%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-2 @ 8.35% 1-3 @ 4.68% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.73%