Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
