Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 68.41% | 18.89% | 12.69% |
| Both teams to score 48.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% | 65.6% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.43% | 11.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.47% | 36.53% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.26% | 44.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.28% | 80.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-0 @ 12.03% 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 4.67% 4-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.8% 5-0 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.55% Total : 68.4% | 1-1 @ 8.98% 0-0 @ 5.18% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.89% | 0-1 @ 4.16% 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.04% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.23% Total : 12.69% |