Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
| 56.29% | 24.08% | 19.63% |
| Both teams to score 47.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% | 52.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% | 74.19% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% | 18.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.26% | 49.74% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.77% | 41.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.24% | 77.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 5.41% 4-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.17% Total : 56.28% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.63% |